Unfortunately, this contradicts what most Californians believe; beliefs that are born out of media-driven hyperbole and erroneous, anxiety-filled public hearsay which is further compounded by medical misdiagnoses. Although people are free to disagree, this opinion has come about after more than two decades of constant research resulting in many publications in the scientific and medical literature.
If you are American, SSC endorses voting in this presidential election. Andrew Gelman, Nate Silver, and Aaron Edlin calculate the chance that a single vote will determine the election ie break a tie in a state that breaks an Electoral College tie.
It ranges from about one in ten million if you live in a swing state to one in a billion if you live in a very safe state. The average American has a one in sixty million chance of determining the election results.
The paper was from the election, which was a pro-Obama landslide; since this election is closer the chance of determining it may be even higher.
But Presidents do shift budgetary priorities a lot. Neither of these are pure costs — Obamacare buys us more health care, and military presence in Iraq buys us [mumble] — but if you think these are less or more efficient ways to spend money than other possible uses, then they represent ways that having one President might be better than another.
In order to add signal rather than noise to the election results, we have to be better than the average voter. I recommend the Outside View — looking for measurable indicators correlated with ability to make good choices. IQ might be another. Suppose you live in a swing state.
If you value the amount of time it takes to vote at less than that, voting is conceivably a good use of your time. SSC endorses voting for Hillary Clinton if you live in a swing state. If you live in a safe state, I endorse voting for Clinton, Johnson, or if you insist Stein. If you want, you can use a vote-swapping site to make this easier or more impactful.
I think Donald Trump would be a bad president. Partly this is because of his policies, insofar as he has them. But the latest news says: This is going to be close. And since the lesson of Brexit is that polls underestimate support for politically incorrect choicesthis is going to be really close.
But if some of my blogging on conservative issues has given me any political capital with potential Trump voters, then I this is where I want to spend it.
So here are some reasons why I would be afraid to have Trump as president even if I agreed with him about the issues.Homeopathy or homœopathy is a system of alternative medicine created in by Samuel Hahnemann, based on his doctrine of like cures like (similia similibus curentur), a claim that a substance that causes the symptoms of a disease in healthy people would cure similar symptoms in sick people.
Homeopathy is a pseudoscience – a belief that is incorrectly presented as scientific. The Harry Potter movies were being filmed for over ten years, and during that time, we were treated to tons of behind the scenes footage of our favorite cast members messing around and generally being adorable on set.
From what we saw, everyone on set, cast and crew alike, got along. Myth of the Brown Recluse Fact, Fear, and Loathing.
Rick Vetter Department of Entomology, University of California, Riverside, CA. This website presents evidence for the lack of brown recluse spiders as part of the Californian spider fauna.
Poison Ivy Poison Ivy has three or five pointed leaflets with smooth or toothed edges. It typically grows as a climbing vine and grows yellow or green flowers and white berries.
It typically grows as a climbing vine and grows yellow or green flowers and white berries.
I. Eliezer Yudkowsky’s catchily-titled Inadequate Equilibria is many things. It’s a look into whether there is any role for individual reason in a world where you can always just trust expert consensus. Most Americans will have an allergic reaction to poison ivy, oak, and sumac.
WebMD explains the cause, how to treat a reaction, how to recognize the plant, and how to prevent exposure.